So will it be what most people expect - farewell to five girls? Or could there be a shock in store? Either Tate or Carly Rose would be almost as big a shock as Ella, the one who should have won, and James, who did, being in the bottom two in the UK a few weeks ago.
A sort of middle, not so much a shock, more a surprise, would be Emblem3 to leave. That is a possibility. Their version of Hey Jude may not have had wide appeal. Less appealing, though, I suspect may have been Carly Rose's interpretation of Imagine but if her base vote - the ones who'll vote whatever she does is bigger than Fifth Harmony's enhanced vote then she'll get away with it.
Carly Rose starts the show singing I'm Coming Home. I hope that's not a hint. No, Fifth Harmony sing the same thing. Tate didn't. Nor did Emblem3.
Tate playing the 'I may not have a job to go back to card' was annoying. If I had my way that would lose him votes, not gain them. But that's not the way it works. Assuming it's one of the two groups that do have to go then I would really choose the girls to stay, not because they're pretty but because Emblem3 may well be together and assured enough to get a deal and won't fall apart whereas the girls are a new band and that one extra label - X Factor finalists - and all the publicity it generates could be enough to give them sticking power and go on to show us what they can do with a contract of some sort.
The $5 million is only worth winning if it actually provides tracks that really suit the artist. For all we know, there could be a brilliant writer who just identifies with one or other of these four acts and submits some cool tracks for them. Add a decent producer and some marketing and they could be out there on top of the winner. Apart from the initial pizazz, quite frankly, it doesn't matter that much. Tate's more or less certain of a deal just because he's so easy to write stuff for and promote in the field. That's why I'd be delighted if he was the one that did go and leave the stage open for young, today, talent.
Carly Rose? So good and yet so not quite 'today'. You can see her leading Broadway and West End shows, no problem, with lots of albums too but will they be playing her at parties? Will the kids be chatting about her latest release? I don't think so. That in no way is to criticise possibly the best singer the show has seen at home and abroad - just looking at where she fits in to a market.
Anyway, 30 minutes in, that's half way through the show and I wouldn't mind betting there'll be an ad break to come first too, the first act through is...
Fifth Harmony!!!
I was about to type Yup, Tate.
Oh boy. Everyone is now thinking: who is going home then? And answering Emblem3.
The camera caught Britney looking black. She will not want that shot publicised. Could she be thinking the unthinkable?
35 minutes in. Khloe is gigantic, like a snowman in that white outfit, Britney may have let slip something, I thought it would be the other way around with the groups, with Emblem3 going,
Someone completely new to me on stage now. Bridgit Mendler? Looking good and sounding modern, energetic if not actually that memorable and the song just goes on. She must be grateful for getting a slot on the big show in what is virtually a Semi final, the sort of slot you'd normally expect big chart acts or familar faces to appear in.
OK. 40 minutes in. The second act through is...
Now it's time for the Yup, Tate Stevens bit.
Carly Rose and Britney are looking so nervous. The boys have that Yeah OK look and must be thinking that they've gone, as must Simon. It really shouldn't be but it could be Carly Rose with two great groups to battle with the old Country fellow. But I'm guessing it'll be Emblem3 that is going in 4th place. I think we'd all love to see what delights Carly Rose would bring to the last show, especially as it doesn't matter any more and she can take all the risks in the world and really show what she can do.
50 minutes in. Cue discussion with the two acts. Of course, for all we know, one of them could have come top of the voting and that's rather more likely to have been Carly Rose.
We get Bruno Mars next. I wonder if he'll be allowed to sing about what's taking him to Paradise? Yes, he is. That's surprising. I guess someone will explain to Carly Rose what that's all about as that's not exactly a track she could cover which kinda explains a lot of what I've been saying before. Even if she wanted to she wouldn't be allowed to.
Chloe uses the shock word. Mario sounds a bit down. But no, it's OK. They built that up well. Carly Rose is through and probably got #1 or #2 again after all. Emblem3 looked like they were cool with that and maybe leaving them up against the favourite will have made the announcement a bit less of a surprise too.
So we have the final three. Carly Rose Soneclar, Tate Stevens and Fifth Harmony.
Mario taking almost complete charge at the end is good to see and one hell of a relief. As the credits roll we just get Chloe with a cut off 'Bye' which was still more than I would have wanted, Mario is beginning to get into the part. You can imagine him selling washing powder in adverts but he has grabbed this role and fought with it and his partner's gaffes well.
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